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Jun 16 2008

Historians: little chance for McCain in Nov.

Published by conjon46385 at 10:26 pm under 2008 Election Edit This

Don’t bet on John McCain being the next president… that’s the message coming from several presidential scholars.

The Politico reports these historians paint a bleak picture for the Republican candidate. They also say Barack Obama has the best chance of any Democrat perhaps since FDR beat Herbert Hoover in 1932.

The historians say it should be “an overwhelming Democratic victory,” noting McCain is facing one of the worst political environments for the party in power since World War II.

There’s also this: only twice in the 20th century did the candidate from the same party as a two-term president go on to win the White House. The last time was in 1988, when President Bush’s father replaced Ronald Reagan… but Reagan was twice as popular as the current president is now.

But McCain does have some advantages, including the fact that a lot of people don’t see him as a traditional Republican. Also, McCain could appeal more to moderates than Obama. If the public ends up seeing the Democrat as “far left.” And, McCain might benefit from leftover divisions in the Democratic Party from the primary.

Meanwhile, a new Gallup poll suggests the American people agree with these historians: 52% of those surveyed think Obama will win, regardless of who they support. 41% say McCain.

And the world is weighing in too: a Pew poll – of 25,000 people in 24 countries – found that in all but two nations, people put more faith in Obama than in McCain to “do the right thing” when it comes to world affairs. One of the two exceptions: the United States.

Here’s my question to you: Many historians doubt John McCain stands much of a chance in November. How can he change their minds?

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One Response to “Historians: little chance for McCain in Nov.”

  1. hamoon 17 Jun 2008 at 9:30 am edit this

    There is positively no way John McCain can change people’s mind. People are tired of the same old stuff. Gas prices are ridiculous. The price of food is on the rise. People can not even afford to run their air conditioner, because the price of electricity is atrocious. Not to mention, people want their son, daughters, husbands, and wives to come home from the war. McCain has already stated, he is in no hurry for the war to end. If it ends at all.

    The people are ready for a change. The middle class is weakling. McCain is not the least bit interested in relieving the taxes on the middle class. It’s time for someone to turn the economy around. Not just for some, but for all.

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